Uzbekistan’s ambitious Uzbekistan-2030 Strategy is positioning the country on a long-term path toward economic growth, social reform and regional leadership, according to a new analysis by Central Asia researcher Abdulhameed Hameed Al-Kba.
Adopted in September 2023 under a presidential decree, the strategy serves as Uzbekistan’s primary development roadmap through the end of the decade. It sets out 100 goals across five priority areas, including improving living standards, accelerating economic growth, advancing green transition policies, strengthening governance and expanding international partnerships.
The programme builds on earlier reforms and aims to transform Uzbekistan into an upper-middle-income economy by 2030. Key measures include economic liberalisation, diversification away from reliance on cotton and gas, and expansion of manufacturing, renewable energy and technology sectors.
Recent data suggests the reforms are already producing results. Uzbekistan’s GDP surpassed $145 bn in 2025, with annual growth exceeding 7%, while exports rose to $33.4 bn. Foreign direct investment inflows reached over $43 bn, and international reserves climbed above $66 billion, highlighting growing investor confidence.
Poverty reduction has also been a central focus. Officials report the national poverty rate fell to just over 5% in 2025, lifting around 1.5 mln people above the poverty line and surpassing early targets. Meanwhile, major green energy investments aim to push renewable energy’s share to more than half of total generation by 2030.
Beyond economics, the strategy emphasises digitalisation, education and social inclusion. Updates in late 2025 placed stronger focus on artificial intelligence and climate resilience, while policies promoting youth employment and women’s empowerment are intended to drive long-term development.
Looking ahead, projections suggest Uzbekistan could grow its GDP to $220–240 bn by 2030, with sustained annual expansion of around 6%. While challenges remain, including global market volatility and complex structural reforms, analysts say the Uzbekistan-2030 strategy reflects a comprehensive effort to modernise the economy and strengthen the country’s regional role.
The plan is widely viewed as a defining framework for Uzbekistan’s transformation, signalling a shift toward a more diversified, outward-looking and inclusive development model in Central Asia.
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