Banks across Central Asia and the Caucasus are expected to remain resilient in 2026, supported by strong profitability, solid capital buffers and continued economic growth, according to a new report by S&P Global Ratings.
The agency forecasts regional lending growth of around 15%–20%, driven largely by retail demand, while asset quality is expected to remain broadly stable amid a supportive macroeconomic environment.
S&P said favourable economic prospects, stable funding bases and sound liquidity metrics could lead to further positive rating actions, with most banks already holding stable outlooks and some carrying positive outlooks.
However, the report highlights several risks, including...