Alarming projections that climate change could reduce global GDP by 62% by the year 2100 have turned out to be significantly overstated—due to a critical error in data relating to Uzbekistan, according to a new review by Stanford University researchers.
The original study, published a year ago in Nature, claimed that the global economy was on track to lose 19% of its GDP by 2050 and 62% by 2100 due to climate-related impacts. These forecasts gained widespread media coverage and were cited in policy planning by the U.S. government and the World Bank.
However, further analysis revealed that these...